Mes Kerman 1-0 Havadar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.08
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.5pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.5pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Havadar EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+40% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
254 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Kerman
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Havadar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.03.2023 Havadar Havadar 1-1 HT 0-1 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRAN
07.10.2022 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 0-1 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Kerman vs Havadar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Kerman squeezed past Havadar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Mes Kerman made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Havadar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mes Kerman and 1.00 for Havadar.

What was the final score of Mes Kerman vs Havadar?

Mes Kerman 1-0 Havadar in the Iran - Azadegan League on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Kerman vs Havadar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Kerman win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mes Kerman 35%, draw 32%, Havadar 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Kerman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mes Kerman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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