Navad Urmia FC 1-0 Shahrdari Noshahr FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 14 Nov 2025

Navad Urmia FC
1-0 HT 1-0
Shahrdari Noshahr FC
📅14/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Iran - Azadegan League – 2025/2026

Navad Urmia FC vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
44%
2.88
Away
23%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
27%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.7pp
44%
Draw
31%
+13.3pp
23%
Away Win
33%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Navad Urmia FC v Shahrdari Noshahr FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navad Urmia FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahrdari Noshahr FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.98
+3% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Navad Urmia FC vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navad Urmia FC squeezed past Shahrdari Noshahr FC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Navad Urmia FC vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC?

Navad Urmia FC 1-0 Shahrdari Noshahr FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navad Urmia FC vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Navad Urmia FC 33%, draw 44%, Shahrdari Noshahr FC 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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