Niroye Zamini 2-1 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
38%
2.94
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.44
Over 2.5
31%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.97
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.13
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
38%
Draw
30%
+8.1pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
66%
+2.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
34%
-2.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.6pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niroye Zamini EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 32%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
0.68/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.99
-35% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niroye Zamini
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Naft Gachsaran
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.02.2025 Naft Gachsaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Niroye Zamini Niroye Zamini IRANAZ
28.09.2024 Niroye Zamini Niroye Zamini 0-1 HT 0-1 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Niroye Zamini vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niroye Zamini nicked a narrow win over Naft Gachsaran 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 38% / 24%) promised a tight game; Niroye Zamini found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naft Gachsaran led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Niroye Zamini and 0.50 for Naft Gachsaran.

What was the final score of Niroye Zamini vs Naft Gachsaran?

Niroye Zamini 2-1 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niroye Zamini vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niroye Zamini win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Niroye Zamini 38%, draw 38%, Naft Gachsaran 24%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/38/24) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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