Altrincham 1-0 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.95
Over
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.64
No Pick
55%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.38
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.19
6+
8%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.38 — our 31% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.08
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.97
X/2
11%
6.56
X/X
12%
4.86
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
12%
4.55
2/X
6%
13.35
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United The Market 34%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.14 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.09
1.03 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.33
Great Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Sutton United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 5-0 HT 4-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
17.04.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 0-4 HT 0-2 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
09.01.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 2-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
1-0
AWAY Sutton United
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Altrincham vs Sutton United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Altrincham edged past Sutton United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Altrincham as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: no to both teams scoring (55%) landed.

On the day, Altrincham had 44% of the ball to Sutton United's 56%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Altrincham and 3.67 for Sutton United.

Altrincham vs Sutton United Result & Final Score

Altrincham 1-0 Sutton United in the England - National League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Altrincham vs Sutton United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 44%, draw 27%, Sutton United 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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