Darlington 1883 1-1 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.63/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.27
-2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Oxford City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.08.2024 Oxford City Oxford City 2-2 HT 1-2 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
1-1
AWAY Oxford City
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 and Oxford City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Darlington 1883 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 65% of the ball to Oxford City's 35%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Oxford City?

Darlington 1883 1-1 Oxford City in the England - Conference on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 42%, draw 25%, Oxford City 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Darlington 1883), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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