Hampton & Richmond 3-2 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.11/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.04
-21% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hampton & Richmond
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
27.01.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
12.08.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 1-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
11.03.2023 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 2-1 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
12.11.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
12.02.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hampton & Richmond
3-2
AWAY Chelmsford City
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hampton & Richmond vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond edged past Chelmsford City 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hampton & Richmond as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hampton & Richmond had 55% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 45%, shots finished 11-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hampton & Richmond and 0.83 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Hampton & Richmond vs Chelmsford City?

Hampton & Richmond 3-2 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hampton & Richmond vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hampton & Richmond win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hampton & Richmond 41%, draw 24%, Chelmsford City 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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