Rotherham United 3-0 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.5
X/1
19%
3.95
X/2
8%
9.63
X/X
10%
5.53
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
9%
7.39
2/X
7%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.73/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.38
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
330 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 62%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
28.4 Crosses 14.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Northampton Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
17.03.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
30.09.2017 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
02.02.2013 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-1 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
21.08.2012 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN2
05.05.2012 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
29.10.2011 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
3-0
AWAY Northampton Town
2.20 xG 0.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
223 Passes 279
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United swept aside Northampton Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rotherham United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rotherham United had 46% of the ball to Northampton Town's 54%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.20 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rotherham United and 0.83 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Northampton Town?

Rotherham United 3-0 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 53%, draw 25%, Northampton Town 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotherham United), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✓ BTTS No
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