Wrexham 2-2 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

Wrexham
2-2 HT 1-1
Cambridge United
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Wrexham vs Cambridge United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 32% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.05
X/1
19%
3.67
X/2
11%
11.6
X/X
10%
5.36
2/1
10%
24.3
2/2
10%
9.59
2/X
9%
18.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wrexham v Cambridge United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 20%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -19%
1.63/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.46
+32% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
369 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 66%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.9 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Wrexham vs Cambridge United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
The Meetings
18.02.2014 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
28.09.2013 Wrexham Wrexham 1-1 HT 1-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İBSL
09.04.2013 Wrexham Wrexham 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İBSL
08.09.2012 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-4 HT 0-1 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
31.03.2012 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
22.11.2011 Wrexham Wrexham 2-1 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United FAK

Wrexham 2-2 Cambridge United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
2-2
AWAY Cambridge United
1.03 xG 1.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
332 Passes 218
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 36
26 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham and Cambridge United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wrexham at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wrexham had 56% of the ball to Cambridge United's 44%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.03 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wrexham had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wrexham and 0.67 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Cambridge United?

Wrexham 2-2 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 49%, draw 25%, Cambridge United 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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