Carlisle United vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carlisle United v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals
Carlisle United vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Chesterfield
İN2
2-2
HT 1-0
Carlisle United
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Chesterfield
İNLK
2-1
HT 0-1
Chesterfield
İN1
4-1
HT 2-1
Carlisle United
İN1
1-3
HT 1-0
Carlisle United
İNTK
Carlisle United 0-2 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics
Chesterfield beat Carlisle United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Chesterfield made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Carlisle United had 52% of the ball to Chesterfield's 48%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.96 to 0.60.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlisle United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Carlisle United and 1.50 for Chesterfield.
What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Chesterfield?
Carlisle United 0-2 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Chesterfield?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 37%, draw 26%, Chesterfield 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.