Walsall 1-0 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.15
6+ Goals
8%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.47
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
16%
3.95
X/2
7%
8.47
X/X
14%
4.39
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
14%
7.13
2/X
8%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.78/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.20
+10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
310 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 62%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.0 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Barrow
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
254 Passes 259
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
28.11.2023 Barrow Barrow 2-0 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
04.03.2023 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
16.08.2022 Barrow Barrow 2-1 HT 2-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
05.03.2022 Barrow Barrow 1-1 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
23.10.2021 Walsall Walsall 2-2 HT 1-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
1-0
AWAY Barrow
0.37 xG 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
207 Passes 219
64% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall nicked a narrow win over Barrow 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Walsall as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Walsall had 48% of the ball to Barrow's 52%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.37 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barrow led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Walsall and 1.50 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Barrow?

Walsall 1-0 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Walsall 46%, draw 29%, Barrow 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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