Cheltenham Town 2-0 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 33% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.51
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
19%
4.22
X/2
12%
8.14
X/X
13%
4.83
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
12%
6.26
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.32/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.74
+7% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 62%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.9 Crosses 16.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Morecambe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.65 xG 1.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 Passes 210
67% Pass Accuracy 61%
28 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2023 Morecambe Morecambe 2-1 HT 1-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
25.10.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN1
12.03.2022 Morecambe Morecambe 1-3 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
19.10.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN1
27.03.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 1-0 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
12.09.2020 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
2-0
AWAY Morecambe
1.22 xG 0.42
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 6
148 Passes 204
57% Pass Accuracy 60%
16 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town got the better of Morecambe 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cheltenham Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 43% of the ball to Morecambe's 57%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.22 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.17 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Morecambe?

Cheltenham Town 2-0 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 43%, draw 28%, Morecambe 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheltenham Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cheltenham Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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