Colchester 0-0 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 14 Dec 2024

Colchester
0-0 HT 0-0
Newport County
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Colchester vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 25% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
19.5
X/1
14%
3.51
X/2
6%
14.5
X/X
8%
6.33
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
13%
11.9
2/X
7%
20.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
67%
-15.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
13%
+12.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colchester v Newport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County EU Bookmakers 16%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.29/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.57
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
360 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 69%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
29.1 Crosses 12.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Colchester vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Newport County
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
241 Passes 168
65% Pass Accuracy 56%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Colchester Colchester 2-1 HT 0-1 Newport County Newport County İN2
03.10.2023 Newport County Newport County 2-1 HT 1-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
01.04.2023 Colchester Colchester 0-0 HT 0-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
05.11.2022 Newport County Newport County 2-0 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester FAK
22.10.2022 Newport County Newport County 1-0 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
22.04.2022 Newport County Newport County 1-2 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2

Colchester 0-0 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
0-0
AWAY Newport County
1.16 xG 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
271 Passes 321
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Newport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester and Newport County played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Colchester at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Colchester had 48% of the ball to Newport County's 52%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.16 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newport County led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Colchester and 1.17 for Newport County.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Newport County?

Colchester 0-0 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Newport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Colchester 51%, draw 24%, Newport County 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Colchester), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colchester) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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