Tranmere Rovers 2-1 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.34
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.9
X/1
12%
3.86
X/2
9%
8.85
X/X
17%
4.76
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
10%
7.34
2/X
5%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.44/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.33
+6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 67%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
22.6 Crosses 13.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
315 Passes 287
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
15.08.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
31.03.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
22.10.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
15.03.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
21.12.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-2 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2-1
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.41 xG 0.73
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
262 Passes 168
70% Pass Accuracy 60%
34 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers squeezed past Harrogate Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tranmere Rovers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 58% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 42%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.41 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 0.67 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Harrogate Town?

Tranmere Rovers 2-1 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 44%, draw 29%, Harrogate Town 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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