Colchester vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Colchester v Newport County — Team-Based Signals
Colchester vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Colchester
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Newport County
İN2
2-0
HT 1-0
Colchester
FAK
1-0
HT 1-0
Colchester
İN2
1-2
HT 1-0
Colchester
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
Newport County
İN2
Colchester 2-1 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics
Colchester nicked a narrow win over Newport County 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colchester as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Colchester had 61% of the ball to Newport County's 39%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 2.71 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Colchester's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newport County led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Colchester and 1.17 for Newport County.
What was the final score of Colchester vs Newport County?
Colchester 2-1 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Colchester vs Newport County?
Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Colchester 44%, draw 25%, Newport County 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colchester), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.