Oxford United 1-3 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.54
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
10%
7.14
X/2
17%
4.54
X/X
13%
4.21
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.91
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 49%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.87/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.95
-9% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
10.1 Crosses 22.9
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.74 xG 1.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
246 Passes 202
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2023 Oxford United Oxford United 1-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İN1
17.12.2022 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
22.01.2022 Oxford United Oxford United 3-2 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İN1
02.10.2021 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 0-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
25.08.2015 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 HT 0-0 Oxford United Oxford United İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
1-3
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.42 xG 1.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 11
375 Passes 349
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday got the better of Oxford United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sheffield Wednesday as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oxford United had 51% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 49%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.42 to 1.87.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Oxford United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Oxford United and 1.00 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Oxford United 1-3 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - Championship on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 31%, draw 27%, Sheffield Wednesday 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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