Preston North End 1-1 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 14 Dec 2024

Preston North End
1-1 HT 1-0
Leeds United
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Preston North End vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.71
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.04
6+ Goals
11%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.41
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
7%
18.55
X/1
15%
10.75
X/2
15%
3.58
X/X
9%
4.86
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.09
2/X
5%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preston North End v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 62%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.01/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.80
+12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +4%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
229 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
16.5 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

Preston North End vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Leeds United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.63 xG 1.82
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
182 Passes 347
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 1-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
26.12.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
26.12.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
22.10.2019 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
09.04.2019 Preston North End Preston North End 0-2 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
18.09.2018 Leeds United Leeds United 3-0 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL

Preston North End 1-1 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
1-1
AWAY Leeds United
0.62 xG 2.22
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
204 Passes 431
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End and Leeds United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Leeds United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Preston North End had 35% of the ball to Leeds United's 65%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.62 to 2.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Preston North End and 1.67 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Leeds United?

Preston North End 1-1 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 29%, draw 21%, Leeds United 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leeds United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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