Coventry 2-1 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 25% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.3
X/1
15%
4.02
X/2
10%
8.98
X/X
14%
5.48
2/1
9%
22.55
2/2
10%
6.81
2/X
8%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 25%
-17% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.51/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.42
-22% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
24.3 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hull City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 1.48
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
409 Passes 330
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 Coventry Coventry 2-3 HT 1-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
15.09.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
11.03.2023 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
27.08.2022 Hull City Hull City 3-2 HT 2-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
16.03.2022 Coventry Coventry 0-2 HT 0-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
30.10.2021 Hull City Hull City 0-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
2-1
AWAY Hull City
3.18 xG 0.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
423 Passes 236
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 22
36 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry squeezed past Hull City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Coventry had 61% of the ball to Hull City's 39%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 3.18 to 0.92 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Coventry's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coventry and 1.67 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Hull City?

Coventry 2-1 Hull City in the England - Championship on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Coventry 45%, draw 29%, Hull City 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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