Swansea City vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swansea City v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Swansea City vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İNCL
1-3
HT 0-0
Swansea City
İNCL
2-1
HT 2-0
Sunderland
İNCL
0-2
HT 0-2
Swansea City
İNP
3-0
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İNP
Swansea City 2-3 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics
Sunderland nicked a narrow win over Swansea City 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sunderland found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Swansea City had 55% of the ball to Sunderland's 45%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.03 to 0.97.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Swansea City and 0.50 for Sunderland.
What was the final score of Swansea City vs Sunderland?
Swansea City 2-3 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Sunderland?
Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 39%, draw 28%, Sunderland 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.