Wehen Wiesbaden 2-5 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.54
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
8%
5.73
X/2
9%
5.77
X/X
12%
5.44
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
17%
3.57
2/X
11%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.7pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
0.77/4.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.18
-1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
21.8 Crosses 20.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ingolstadt
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.62 xG 2.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
294 Passes 238
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 4-1 HT 2-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
27.08.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-3 HT 2-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
13.03.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-2 HT 1-2 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
06.11.2020 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 4-1 HT 3-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
28.05.2019 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-3 HT 1-3 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2P
24.05.2019 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-2 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2P
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
2-5
AWAY Ingolstadt
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
389 Passes 296
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt swept aside Wehen Wiesbaden 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Ingolstadt made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 55% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 45%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 2.17 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Ingolstadt?

Wehen Wiesbaden 2-5 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 36%, draw 31%, Ingolstadt 33%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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