Arminia Bielefeld 3-3 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 14 Dec 2024

Arminia Bielefeld
3-3 HT 1-1
Unterhaching
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Arminia Bielefeld vs Unterhaching Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.81
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
29%
3.69
X/2
7%
13.25
X/X
9%
6.17
2/1
6%
22.55
2/2
7%
10.4
2/X
9%
18.4
Value flag · X/1 at 3.69 — our 29% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-4.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arminia Bielefeld v Unterhaching — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -18%
0.85/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.08
-55% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
23.2 Crosses 14.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Arminia Bielefeld vs Unterhaching Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Unterhaching
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 HT 0-2 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
22.09.2023 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-2 HT 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
28.02.2015 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 4-0 HT 3-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
16.09.2014 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-3 HT 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
23.02.2013 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 HT 2-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
01.09.2012 Unterhaching Unterhaching 3-2 HT 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3

Arminia Bielefeld 3-3 Unterhaching — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
3-3
AWAY Unterhaching
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 1
385 Passes 108
85% Pass Accuracy 56%
35 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld and Unterhaching couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Arminia Bielefeld carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 71% of the ball to Unterhaching's 29%, shots finished 22-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.17 for Unterhaching.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Unterhaching?

Arminia Bielefeld 3-3 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 59%, draw 22%, Unterhaching 18%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
14 Dec 2024
16:00 Stuttgart II vs Borussia Dortmund II Analysis →
16:00 Wehen Wiesbaden vs Ingolstadt Analysis →
16:00 Hannover 96 II vs Viktoria Köln Analysis →
16:00 Sandhausen vs Erzgebirge Aue Analysis →
18:30 1860 München vs Verl Analysis →