Sandhausen 4-6 Erzgebirge Aue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.97
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
16%
4.89
X/2
11%
6.67
X/X
11%
5.16
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
14%
4.56
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
2.12/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.72
+30% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.04 xG 1.96
49% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
299 Passes 238
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
31 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2024 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-0 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
23.08.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 1-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
05.02.2022 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-0 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
22.08.2021 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
20.03.2021 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
28.11.2020 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-4 HT 1-2 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
4-6
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 5
340 Passes 278
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Erzgebirge Aue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzgebirge Aue beat Sandhausen 6-4 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Erzgebirge Aue made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sandhausen had 54% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 46%, shots finished 20-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sandhausen and 1.50 for Erzgebirge Aue.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Sandhausen 4-6 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 39%, draw 29%, Erzgebirge Aue 32%. The final score 4-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandhausen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandhausen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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