1860 München 0-4 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.53
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
10%
5.73
X/2
13%
5.86
X/X
11%
5.25
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
25%
3.65
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+7.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.22/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.15
+18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.6 Crosses 15.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Verl
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Verl Verl 0-1 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
30.09.2023 1860 München 1860 München 1-0 HT 1-0 Verl Verl AL3
19.02.2023 1860 München 1860 München 0-3 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
13.08.2022 Verl Verl 0-1 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
04.03.2022 1860 München 1860 München 2-0 HT 2-0 Verl Verl AL3
25.09.2021 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
0-4
AWAY Verl
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
254 Passes 599
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
5 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl cruised past 1860 München 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Verl as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, 1860 München had 33% of the ball to Verl's 67%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for 1860 München and 0.67 for Verl.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Verl?

1860 München 0-4 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated an Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 32%, draw 25%, Verl 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Verl), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Verl) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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