Sandhausen 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Jan 2024

Sandhausen
1-0 HT 1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
📅24/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Sandhausen vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.78
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.67
X/2
9%
6.94
X/X
12%
5.0
2/1
7%
23.45
2/2
18%
4.83
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sandhausen v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
2.13/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.84
+35% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sandhausen vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.93 xG 1.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
301 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.08.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 1-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
05.02.2022 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-0 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
22.08.2021 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
20.03.2021 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
28.11.2020 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-4 HT 1-2 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
16.05.2020 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 3-1 HT 1-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2

Sandhausen 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
1-0
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Erzgebirge Aue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen nicked a narrow win over Erzgebirge Aue 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sandhausen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sandhausen had 37% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 63%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzgebirge Aue led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sandhausen and 2.00 for Erzgebirge Aue.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Sandhausen 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 41%, draw 27%, Erzgebirge Aue 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandhausen) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandhausen) ✗ Over 2.5
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