Ingolstadt 1-1 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Jan 2024

Ingolstadt
1-1 HT 1-1
Preussen Münster
📅24/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Ingolstadt vs Preussen Münster Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.74 — our 23% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.37
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
18%
4.45
X/2
10%
8.08
X/X
16%
5.87
2/1
9%
20.65
2/2
9%
5.38
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt v Preussen Münster — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.64/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.78
-1% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
19.4 Crosses 16.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Ingolstadt vs Preussen Münster Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.79 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
303 Passes 270
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.08.2023 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 3-1 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
13.06.2020 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 0-0 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
26.10.2019 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-2 HT 1-2 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3

Ingolstadt 1-1 Preussen Münster — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
1-1
AWAY Preussen Münster
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt and Preussen Münster couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 54% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 46%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.67 for Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Preussen Münster?

Ingolstadt 1-1 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 48%, draw 28%, Preussen Münster 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ingolstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Under 2.5
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