Unterhaching 1-0 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Jan 2024

Unterhaching
1-0 HT 1-0
Freiburg II
📅24/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Unterhaching vs Freiburg II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.35
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
12%
3.91
X/2
8%
8.4
X/X
13%
4.8
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
13%
6.73
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
15.7
Value flag · 2/X at 15.7 — our 10% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Unterhaching v Freiburg II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 26%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.57/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.19
-12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
463 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 73%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.3 Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Unterhaching vs Freiburg II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unterhaching
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Freiburg II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.08.2023 Freiburg II Freiburg II 0-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3

Unterhaching 1-0 Freiburg II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unterhaching
1-0
AWAY Freiburg II
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Unterhaching vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unterhaching edged past Freiburg II 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Unterhaching as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Unterhaching had 50% of the ball to Freiburg II's 50%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Unterhaching vs Freiburg II?

Unterhaching 1-0 Freiburg II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unterhaching vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unterhaching win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Unterhaching 46%, draw 28%, Freiburg II 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Unterhaching) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Unterhaching) ✗ Over 2.5
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