Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.34
1/2
10%
25.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
9%
6.24
X/2
15%
4.89
X/X
14%
4.81
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.09
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.20/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.75
-7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
23.08.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
31.01.2015 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
09.08.2014 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 5-1 HT 3-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
08.02.2014 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-1 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
24.08.2013 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
1-0
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II edged past Jahn Regensburg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jahn Regensburg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 47% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 53%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.60 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Jahn Regensburg?

Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 30%, draw 28%, Jahn Regensburg 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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