Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.97
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.36
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
22%
4.26
X/2
8%
8.18
X/X
10%
5.31
2/1
8%
22.05
2/2
10%
5.82
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.44/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.47
-14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Unterhaching
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-2 HT 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
28.02.2015 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 4-0 HT 3-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
16.09.2014 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-3 HT 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
23.02.2013 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 HT 2-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
01.09.2012 Unterhaching Unterhaching 3-2 HT 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
07.04.2012 Unterhaching Unterhaching 5-0 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
1-2
AWAY Unterhaching
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unterhaching squeezed past Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Arminia Bielefeld at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 64% of the ball to Unterhaching's 36%, shots finished 25-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.67 for Unterhaching.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Unterhaching?

Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 48%, draw 27%, Unterhaching 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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