Rot-Weiss Essen 0-2 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 Feb 2024

Rot-Weiss Essen
0-2 HT 0-0
Ulm 1846
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm 1846 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
13%
5.24
X/2
14%
5.97
X/X
9%
4.83
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
15%
3.94
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Ulm 1846 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.25/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.47
-17% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm 1846 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ulm 1846
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 2-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 saw off Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Ulm 1846 made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm 1846?

Rot-Weiss Essen 0-2 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 40%, draw 22%, Ulm 1846 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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