Lübeck 0-3 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
13%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 27% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.08
1/2
9%
25.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
18%
6.09
X/2
15%
5.05
X/X
7%
4.93
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
15%
3.14
2/X
10%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.39/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.26/1.51
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
16.0 Crosses 25.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.09.2023 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-1 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lübeck
0-3
AWAY Preussen Münster
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster swept aside Lübeck 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Preussen Münster made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lübeck had 45% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 55%, shots finished 8-17.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Preussen Münster?

Lübeck 0-3 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated an Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 36%, draw 25%, Preussen Münster 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preussen Münster), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Preussen Münster) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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