Sandhausen 6-3 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 25% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.25
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.07
X/2
12%
5.97
X/X
6%
4.68
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
19%
4.08
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +30%
1.69/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.53
+13% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.91 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
216 Passes 288
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
30.04.2023 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-1 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
22.10.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
16.01.2022 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-3 HT 0-2 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
31.07.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
16.05.2021 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-0 HT 2-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
6-3
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen ran out comfortable winners over Jahn Regensburg 6-3. The game was level at 3-3 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Sandhausen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sandhausen had 52% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 48%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sandhausen and 1.67 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Jahn Regensburg?

Sandhausen 6-3 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 39%, draw 23%, Jahn Regensburg 37%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandhausen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandhausen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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