Borneo FC 5-0 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.47/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.68
-19% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borneo FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Madura United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
346 Passes 384
19.05.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
15.05.2024 Madura United Madura United 1-0 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
17.04.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
01.10.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
25.03.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
14.12.2021 Madura United Madura United 2-2 HT 2-1 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
POST-MATCH Borneo FC vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borneo FC ran out comfortable winners over Madura United 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Borneo FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Madura United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Borneo FC and 1.83 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Borneo FC vs Madura United?

Borneo FC 5-0 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borneo FC vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borneo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Borneo FC 58%, draw 23%, Madura United 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borneo FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Borneo FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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