Jong Almere City vs Jong Sparta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jong Almere City v Jong Sparta — Team-Based Signals
Jong Almere City vs Jong Sparta Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Jong Sparta
HOLTW
Jong Almere City 3-4 Jong Sparta — Actual Match Statistics
Jong Sparta squeezed past Jong Almere City 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jong Sparta as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Jong Almere City had 52% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 48%, shots finished 12-14.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jong Sparta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jong Almere City and 1.50 for Jong Sparta.
What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs Jong Sparta?
Jong Almere City 3-4 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs Jong Sparta?
Before kick-off our model rated an Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 34%, draw 25%, Jong Sparta 41%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Sparta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.