Györi ETO 3-4 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.82/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.54
+19% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
12.3 Crosses 23.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Györi ETO
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Diosgyor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.37 xG 2.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
244 Passes 349
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-0 HT 0-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
27.11.2022 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-3 HT 0-2 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC2
06.03.2022 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-0 HT 1-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC2
12.09.2021 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-2 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC2
17.05.2015 Diosgyor Diosgyor 4-1 HT 1-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
01.11.2014 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-1 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Györi ETO
3-4
AWAY Diosgyor
1.32 xG 1.73
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
416 Passes 148
81% Pass Accuracy 64%
29 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Györi ETO vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor squeezed past Györi ETO 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Diosgyor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Györi ETO had 68% of the ball to Diosgyor's 32%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.32 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diosgyor led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Györi ETO and 2.00 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Györi ETO vs Diosgyor?

Györi ETO 3-4 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Györi ETO vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Györi ETO win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Györi ETO 38%, draw 27%, Diosgyor 35%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Györi ETO) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
14 Dec 2024
14:00 MTK Budapest vs MOL Fehervar Analysis →
16:30 Zalaegerszegi TE vs Debrecen Analysis →
21:30 Puskas FC vs Paksi SE Analysis →