MTK Budapest vs MOL Fehervar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MTK Budapest v MOL Fehervar — Team-Based Signals
MTK Budapest vs MOL Fehervar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
MTK Budapest
MAC
1-1
HT 0-0
MOL Fehervar
MAC
0-2
HT 0-1
MOL Fehervar
MAC
MTK Budapest 3-2 MOL Fehervar — Actual Match Statistics
MTK Budapest squeezed past MOL Fehervar 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MTK Budapest as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, MTK Budapest had 57% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 43%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.89 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold MTK Budapest's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for MTK Budapest and 2.17 for MOL Fehervar.
What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs MOL Fehervar?
MTK Budapest 3-2 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs MOL Fehervar?
Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 47%, draw 24%, MOL Fehervar 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.