Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
3.05
6+ Goals
13%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.26/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.74
-20% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.0 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Debrecen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.78 xG 1.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
212 Passes 418
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 3-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
17.03.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 5-1 HT 4-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
25.11.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
13.08.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
23.04.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-2 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
28.01.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
2-1
AWAY Debrecen
0.75 xG 0.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
281 Passes 291
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE squeezed past Debrecen 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zalaegerszegi TE as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 49% of the ball to Debrecen's 51%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.75 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 2.67 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Debrecen?

Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalaegerszegi TE win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 42%, draw 24%, Debrecen 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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