Puskas FC 3-1 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
11%
7.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.84/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.72
-8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
26.9 Crosses 26.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 227
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
20.04.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 5-0 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
23.09.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
19.05.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-2 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
25.02.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-4 HT 1-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
3-1
AWAY Paksi SE
3.20 xG 0.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 Passes 333
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC saw off Paksi SE 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 49% of the ball to Paksi SE's 51%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 3.20 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Puskas FC and 1.67 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Paksi SE?

Puskas FC 3-1 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 46%, draw 25%, Paksi SE 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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