Alverca vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alverca v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Alverca 3-1 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Alverca got the better of Chaves 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Alverca found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Alverca had 41% of the ball to Chaves's 59%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 2.06 to 1.24.
What was the final score of Alverca vs Chaves?
Alverca 3-1 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alverca vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alverca 36%, draw 28%, Chaves 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.