Mafra 2-0 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.40/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.43
-8% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Benfica II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.52 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
341 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Mafra Mafra 1-2 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
13.08.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 3-2 HT 2-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
01.04.2023 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
18.10.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 5-1 HT 4-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
02.04.2022 Mafra Mafra 2-1 HT 2-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
07.11.2021 Benfica II Benfica II 1-3 HT 1-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
2-0
AWAY Benfica II
2.14 xG 1.56
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
162 Passes 411
63% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mafra vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra beat Benfica II 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Mafra made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mafra had 36% of the ball to Benfica II's 64%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 2.14 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mafra and 2.17 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Benfica II?

Mafra 2-0 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mafra 39%, draw 25%, Benfica II 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mafra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mafra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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