RSD Alcala 1-0 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2025

RSD Alcala
1-0 HT 0-0
Real Madrid III
📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2025/2026

RSD Alcala vs Real Madrid III Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.56
Over 2.5
53%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
60%
-12.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
40%
+12.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.0pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RSD Alcala v Real Madrid III — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RSD Alcala EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 37%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.16/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.75
+3% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

RSD Alcala 1-0 Real Madrid III — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RSD Alcala
1-0
AWAY Real Madrid III
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RSD Alcala vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RSD Alcala edged past Real Madrid III 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; RSD Alcala found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RSD Alcala had 46% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 54%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of RSD Alcala vs Real Madrid III?

RSD Alcala 1-0 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RSD Alcala vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a RSD Alcala win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split RSD Alcala 36%, draw 29%, Real Madrid III 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RSD Alcala) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RSD Alcala) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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