Atletico Nacional 0-0 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
46%
+8.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 30%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.81/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.92
+30% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
238 Passes 310
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
05.12.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
24.11.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
27.10.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 5-2 HT 4-2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
08.09.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-3 HT 2-2 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
05.05.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
24.03.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional and Independiente Medellin played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Nacional at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.33 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin?

Atletico Nacional 0-0 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Cup on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 54%, draw 24%, Independiente Medellin 22%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ BTTS Yes
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