Independiente Medellin 0-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
0.98/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.05
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
14.7 Crosses 13.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.51
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
313 Passes 232
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 5-2 HT 4-2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
08.09.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-3 HT 2-2 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
05.05.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
24.03.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
18.11.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
12.11.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
0-0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.90 xG 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
337 Passes 257
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 9
9 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 55% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 45%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.90 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.83 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?

Independiente Medellin 0-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 37%, draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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