Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-2
Independiente Medellin
KOL
2-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-2
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
Independiente Medellin nicked a narrow win over Atletico Nacional 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.17 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Cup on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 41%, draw 25%, Atletico Nacional 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.