Pendikspor 1-1 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
15%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.07
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
20%
5.08
X/2
11%
6.76
X/X
9%
4.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
12%
4.77
2/X
6%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+5.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.29/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.28
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
17.3 Crosses 11.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Iğdır FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.80 xG 1.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
316 Passes 282
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
01.09.2024 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
1-1
AWAY Iğdır FK
0.91 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
303 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Iğdır FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor and Iğdır FK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pendikspor at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Pendikspor had 50% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 50%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.91 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Iğdır FK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Pendikspor and 1.50 for Iğdır FK.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Iğdır FK?

Pendikspor 1-1 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Iğdır FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 50%, draw 23%, Iğdır FK 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pendikspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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