Fatih Karagümrük vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fatih Karagümrük v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals
Fatih Karagümrük vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Kocaelispor
T1L
5-1
HT 4-0
Fatih Karagümrük
T1L
Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük and Kocaelispor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 35% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 65%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.96 to 1.56.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 2.50 for Kocaelispor.
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Kocaelispor?
Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - Super League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Kocaelispor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 37%, draw 28%, Kocaelispor 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), BTTS No went the other way.