Samsunspor 0-2 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 34% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.79
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
18%
4.92
X/2
8%
7.46
X/X
15%
4.95
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
13%
5.33
2/X
10%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.51/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.40
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.4 Crosses 16.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 0.98
42% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
256 Passes 413
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 4-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
18.09.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
03.03.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
22.10.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
11.01.2014 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-3 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
17.08.2013 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
0-2
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.83 xG 0.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
376 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK saw off Samsunspor 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Başakşehir FK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Samsunspor had 53% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 47%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.83 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Samsunspor and 1.17 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Samsunspor 0-2 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 40%, draw 30%, Başakşehir FK 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Samsunspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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