Bochum 1-0 St. Pauli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 15 Jan 2025

Bochum
1-0 HT 0-0
St. Pauli
📅15/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Bochum vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.61
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
16%
5.55
X/2
17%
6.07
X/X
16%
4.27
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
8%
4.15
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bochum v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.3 Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards –

Bochum vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
2W-3D-1L
AWAY St. Pauli
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.08 xG 1.48
57% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 Passes 263
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2021 St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-3 HT 2-2 Bochum Bochum AL2
21.09.2020 Bochum Bochum 2-2 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
05.06.2020 Bochum Bochum 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
08.11.2019 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 1-1 Bochum Bochum AL2
12.05.2019 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL2
10.12.2018 Bochum Bochum 1-3 HT 1-2 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2

Bochum 1-0 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
1-0
AWAY St. Pauli
1.45 xG 0.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
272 Passes 262
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bochum vs St. Pauli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum nicked a narrow win over St. Pauli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Bochum made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bochum had 51% of the ball to St. Pauli's 49%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.45 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bochum and 1.33 for St. Pauli.

What was the final score of Bochum vs St. Pauli?

Bochum 1-0 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs St. Pauli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bochum 39%, draw 29%, St. Pauli 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bochum), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bochum) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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