Bourgoin vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bourgoin v Lyon — Team-Based Signals
Bourgoin 2-2 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics
Bourgoin and Lyon couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lyon at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Bourgoin had 27% of the ball to Lyon's 73%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 1.29 to 2.63.
What was the final score of Bourgoin vs Lyon?
Bourgoin 2-2 Lyon in the France - Cup on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bourgoin vs Lyon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bourgoin 21%, draw 17%, Lyon 62%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lyon), BTTS No went the other way.