Troyes vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Troyes v Rennes — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Troyes
FR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Rennes
FR1
4-1
HT 2-1
Troyes
FR1
2-2
HT 2-1
Rennes
FR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Rennes
FR1
Troyes 1-0 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes edged past Rennes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Rennes at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Troyes had 32% of the ball to Rennes's 68%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.85 to 0.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Troyes and 2.33 for Rennes.
What was the final score of Troyes vs Rennes?
Troyes 1-0 Rennes in the France - Cup on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Troyes vs Rennes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Troyes 24%, draw 23%, Rennes 53%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rennes), Over 2.5 went the other way.