Brest 2-1 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 15 Jan 2025

Brest
2-1 HT 2-0
Nantes
📅15/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Cup – 2024/2025

Brest vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 30% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.16
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
16%
5.19
X/2
16%
6.64
X/X
11%
4.5
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
12%
4.64
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 34%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.51/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.08
+5% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
– Crosses 40.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Brest vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nantes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
418 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Brest Brest 4-1 HT 2-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
04.05.2024 Brest Brest 0-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
17.12.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-2 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
03.05.2023 Brest Brest 2-0 HT 2-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
16.10.2022 Nantes Nantes 4-1 HT 2-1 Brest Brest FR1
10.04.2022 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1

Brest 2-1 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
2-1
AWAY Nantes
0.84 xG 0.87
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
264 Passes 463
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Brest vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest edged past Nantes 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Brest made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Brest had 39% of the ball to Nantes's 61%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.84 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brest and 1.00 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Brest vs Nantes?

Brest 2-1 Nantes in the France - Cup on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brest 38%, draw 27%, Nantes 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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