Toulouse vs Stade Lavallois Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toulouse v Stade Lavallois — Team-Based Signals
Toulouse vs Stade Lavallois Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Stade Lavallois
FR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Toulouse
FR2
Toulouse 2-1 Stade Lavallois — Actual Match Statistics
Toulouse edged past Stade Lavallois 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Toulouse as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Toulouse had 53% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 47%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.41 to 0.91 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Toulouse's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Toulouse had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Toulouse and 1.00 for Stade Lavallois.
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Stade Lavallois?
Toulouse 2-1 Stade Lavallois in the France - Cup on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toulouse vs Stade Lavallois?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 51%, draw 24%, Stade Lavallois 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.